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The Black Swan

The Impact of the Highly Improbable

von Taleb, Nassim Nicholas   (Autor)

Ein 'Black Swan' ist ein sehr unwahrscheinliches Ereignis mit drei Hauptcharakteristika: es ist nicht vorhersehbar, es hat massivste Auswirkungen, und es wird hinterher plötzlich als vorhersagbar und nicht überraschend dargestellt. The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday 'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

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Produktbeschreibung

Ein 'Black Swan' ist ein sehr unwahrscheinliches Ereignis mit drei Hauptcharakteristika: es ist nicht vorhersehbar, es hat massivste Auswirkungen, und es wird hinterher plötzlich als vorhersagbar und nicht überraschend dargestellt. The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent 

Kritik

A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected Guardian 

Autoreninfo

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas

Nassim Nicholas Taleb spent twenty-one years as a risk taker before becoming a researcher in philosophical, mathematical, and (mostly) practical problems with probability. Although he spends most of his time as a flƒneur, meditating in cafes across the planet, he is currently Distinguished Professor at New York University's Tandon School of Engineering but self-funds his own research.

His books, Antifragile, The Black Swan, The Bed of Procrustes and Fooled by Randomness (part of a multi-volume collection called Incerto, Latin for uncertainty), have been translated into thirty-seven languages. Taleb has authored more than fifty scholarly papers as backup to Incerto, ranging from international affairs and risk management to statistical physics. He refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports. 

Mehr vom Verlag:

Penguin Books Ltd (UK)

Mehr vom Autor:

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas

Produktdetails

Medium: Buch
Format: Kartoniert
Seiten: 480
Sprache: Englisch
Erschienen: Februar 2008
Auflage: Trade Paperback
Sonstiges: B-format
Maße: 197 x 128 mm
Gewicht: 345 g
ISBN-10: 0141034599
ISBN-13: 9780141034591

Bestell-Nr.: 3720874 
Libri-Verkaufsrang (LVR):
Libri-Relevanz: 250 (max 9.999)
 

LIBRI: 5485525
LIBRI-EK*: 6.68 € (35.00%)
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KNOABBVERMERK: 2011. 480 S. 198 mm
KNOSONSTTEXT: B-format
Einband: Kartoniert
Auflage: Trade Paperback
Sprache: Englisch
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