PORTO-
FREI

Coping with Uncertainty

von Springer-Verlag GmbH

Support for addressing the on-going global changes needs solutions for new scientific problems which in turn require new concepts and tools. A key issue concerns a vast variety of irreducible uncertainties, including extreme events of high multidimensional consequences, e.g., the climate change. The dilemma is concerned with enormous costs versus massive uncertainties of extreme impacts. Traditional scientific approaches rely on real observations and experiments. Yet no sufficient observations exist for new problems, and "pure" experiments, and learning by doing may be expensive, dangerous, or impossible. In addition, the available historical observations are often contaminated by past actions, and policies. Thus, tools are presented for the explicit treatment of uncertainties using "synthetic" information composed of available "hard" data from historical observations, the results of possible experiments, and scientific facts, as well as "soft" data from experts' opinions, and scenarios.

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Produktbeschreibung

Support for addressing the on-going global changes needs solutions for new scientific problems which in turn require new concepts and tools. A key issue concerns a vast variety of irreducible uncertainties, including extreme events of high multidimensional consequences, e.g., the climate change. The dilemma is concerned with enormous costs versus massive uncertainties of extreme impacts. Traditional scientific approaches rely on real observations and experiments. Yet no sufficient observations exist for new problems, and "pure" experiments, and learning by doing may be expensive, dangerous, or impossible. In addition, the available historical observations are often contaminated by past actions, and policies. Thus, tools are presented for the explicit treatment of uncertainties using "synthetic" information composed of available "hard" data from historical observations, the results of possible experiments, and scientific facts, as well as "soft" data from experts' opinions, and scenarios. 

Inhaltsverzeichnis

Part I: Modeling of Uncertainty and Probabilistic Issues.- Part II: Robust
Solutions under Uncertainty.- Part III: Analysis and Optimization of Technical
Systems and Structures under Uncertainty.- Part IV: Analysis and Optimization of
Economic and Engineering Systems under Uncertainty. 

Produktdetails

Medium: eBook
Format: PDF
Kopierschutz: PERSONALISIERTES WASSERZEICHEN
Sprache: Englisch
Erschienen: Dezember 2009
Auflage: 2010
ISBN-10: 3642037356
ISBN-13: 9783642037351

Bestell-Nr.: 12733917 
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Einband: PDF
Auflage: 2010
Sprache: Englisch

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